Noted statistician Nate Silver gives Donald Trump a 44 percent chance of winning the election.
Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight.com, has Trump losing the election by a hair, using his Polls-Plus Forecast that takes into account polls plus historical data and the economy.
The results of Silver's model:
- Clinton: 55.9 percent chance of winning; Trump 44 percent;
- Clinton: 46.5 percent of the popular vote; Trump 45.1 percent;
- Clinton: 278 electoral votes to Trump's 259.5.
Silver has Trump winning the battleground states of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Nevada.
Silver has Clinton taking Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin and New Hampshire.
The Washington Examiner notes Silver gave Trump only a 3 percent chance of winning just one month ago.
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