Nate Silver: 2014 GOP Could Win Senate

Regrouping from a disappointing November, Republicans have a good chance of picking up Senate seats in the 2014 elections, observes political columnist Nate Silver of The New York Times.

“Twenty-one of the 35 seats up for election are now held by Democrats,” Silver penned on Wednesday. “Moreover, most the states that will be casting ballots for the Senate in 2014 are Republican leaning: 7 of the 21 Democratic-held seats are in states carried by the former Republican presidential nominee, Mitt Romney, while just one of the Republican seats is in a state won by President Obama.”

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Silver noted that Democrats also run the risk of suffering from the “downside to presidential coattails since most of the seats up for grabs were decided in 2008, which was the year President Obama was first elected to the White House.

“Without having Mr. Obama on the ballot, and with an electorate that is likely to be older and whiter than in presidential years, some Democrats may find that their 2008 coattails have turned into a midterm headwind instead,” said Silver, who added that he would still not call Republicans “odds –on favorites” to gain the necessary six Senate seats to win a majority.