Hillary Clinton leads rival presidential rival Sen. Bernie Sanders by 21 percent among New York Democrats, while Donald Trump is dominating the GOP field in the Empire State, a new poll shows.
In the
Sienna College poll released Monday, almost half of New Yorkers — including nearly two-thirds of Democrats — think Clinton will be the next president.
Here's the Democratic race breakdown:
- Clinton: 55 percent
- Sanders: 34 percent
In rural and conservative upstate New York, Clinton's edge over Sanders is just 8 points; in liberal New York City she holds a 24-point lead, and has a dominant 32-point lead in downstate suburbs.
Among Republicans, the presidential contest broke down this way:
- Trump; 34 percent
- Florida Sen. Marco Rubio:16 percent
- Texas Sen. Ted Cruz: 16 percent
- New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie: 11 percent
- Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush: 7 percent
- Ohio Gov. John Kasich: 4 percent
Trump's lead over Rubio is 26 percent in New York City and 27 percent in the downstate suburbs.
In upstate New York, results show a much closer race:
- Trump: 24 percent
- Cruz: 20 percent
- Christie: 18 percent
- Rubio: 17 percent
The poll finds New Yorkers overall believe Clinton is a shoo-in for the White House.
"Nearly two-thirds of Democrats, 65 percent, think Hillary will be the next president, as do a plurality of independents, 40 percent," Sienna College pollster
Steve Greenberg said in a statement.
"Republicans, however, are more spread out, with 32 percent thinking Trump will be the next president, compared to 22 percent who say Clinton and 12 percent who say Cruz."
Overall, 48 percent of New York voters think Clinton will be elected, while just 19 percent predict a Trump win, he added.
In other findings, the survey shows:
- Among all New Yorkers polled, 50 percent said they have a favorable opinion of Clinton, while 47 percent had an unfavorable opinion. Sanders has an overall favorable rating of 51 percent.
- Among Republicans voters, Rubio had the highest favorable rating, 55 percent, followed by Christie, 54 percent; Trump, 51 percent; Cruz, 44 percent; Bush, 42 percent; and Kasich, 28 percent.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.