Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are deadlocked in Ohio and close in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, according to Emerson College's first general election poll.
The state-by-state results:
Ohio:
- Donald Trump 42 percent
- Hillary Clinton 42 percent
- Gary Johnson 10 percent
- Jill Stein 2 percent
Pennsylvania:
- Clinton 46 percent
- Trump 43 percent
- Johnson 7 percent
- Stein 2 percent
Michigan:
- Clinton 45 percent
- Trump 40 percent
- Johnson 7 percent
- Stein 3 percent
One demographic that varies wildly between the three states is with millennials:
- Ohio: Clinton leads Trump by 18 points, 50 percent to 32 percent
- Pennsylvania: Clinton leads Trump by just 3 points, 42 percent to 39 percent
- Michigan: Trump leads Clinton by 12, 45 percent to 33 percent
Trump is leading among independent voters in all three Rust Belt states, ranging from a one-point lead in Michigan to a 17-point lead in Ohio; he leads 43 percent to 37 percent in Pennsylvania.
The favorability ratings for each candidate are rather consistent across the three key battleground states, too:
Ohio
- Trump: 41 percent view favorably; 57 percent view unfavorably
- Clinton: 42 percent view favorably; 56 percent view unfavorably
Michigan:
- Trump: 40 percent view favorably; 55 percent view unfavorably
- Clinton: 45 percent view favorably; 52 percent view unfavorably
Pennsylvania:
- Trump: 40 percent view favorably; 58 percent view unfavorably
- Clinton: 42 percent view favorably; 55 percent view unfavorably
The Emerson College Ohio poll was conducted from Aug. 25 to 27; the Michigan and Pennsylvania polls were conducted Aug. 25 to 28. The samples consisted of 800 likely general election voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percent.