The 2024 presidential election is at razor-thin margins in the battleground states, according to a new Emerson College/The Hill poll.
In the seven battleground states:
- Arizona: Trump 50%, Harris 48%
- Georgia: Trump 50%, Harris 49%
- Michigan: Harris 50%, Trump 48%
- Nevada: Harris 48%, Trump 48%
- North Carolina: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
- Pennsylvania: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
- Wisconsin: Trump 49%, Harris 49%
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have been divided by a gender gap, with men mainly voting for Trump and women voting for Harris.
In Pennsylvania, Trump leads Harris with men, 58% to 41%, while Harris leads Trump with women, 55% to 42%. In Wisconsin, Trump lead Harris with men, 55% to 43% while Harris leads Trump with women, 55% to 44%. In Georgia, Trump leads Harris with men, 58% to 42%, and Harris leads Trump with women, 55% to 43%.
Poll results from Senate elections:
- Arizona: Democrat Ruben Gallego 50%, Republican Kari Lake 45%
- Michigan: Democrat Elissa Slotkin 49%, Republican Mike Rogers 45%
- Nevada: Democrat Sen. Jacky Rosen 50%, Republican Sam Brown 44%
- Pennsylvania: Democrat Sen. Bob Casey 47%, Republican David McCormick 47%
- Wisconsin: Democrat Sen. Tammy Baldwin 51%, Republican Eric Hovde 45%
The poll was conducted Oct. 30 to Nov. 2.
The sample size for Arizona is 900, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll's margin of error of +/-3.2%. The sample size for Michigan is 790, with a credibility interval of +/-3.4%. The sample size for North Carolina is 860 with a credibility interval of +/-3.3%. The sample size for Nevada is 840, with a credibility interval of +/-3.3%. The sample size for Pennsylvania is 1,000, with a credibility interval of +/-3%. The sample size for Wisconsin is 800, with a credibility interval of +/-3.4% The sample size for Georgia is 800 with a credibility interval of +/-3.4%