Bloomberg Poll: 49% Swing-State Voters Expect Violence

Supporters of former President Donald Trump cheer as his motorcade leaves Manhattan Criminal Court at the end of the day's proceedings on May 14, 2024, in New York City. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

By    |   Wednesday, 22 May 2024 12:15 PM EDT ET

Nearly half of voters across seven swing states said they expect violence around the presidential election in November, according to a new Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll.

Voters from Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin were asked, "How much do you trust each of the following – That the election and its aftermath will be free from violence."

According to the survey, 49% of respondents expect some degree of violence surrounding the election, including 31% who answered "not much" to the question of trusting the election will be free from violence and 18% who said "not at all."

Thirty-five percent said "some" in response to the question about trust and 16% answered "a lot."

The same poll also found former President Donald Trump, now the presumptive GOP presidential nominee, leading Democrat President Joe Biden by 4 points among swing-state voters in a theoretical matchup.

According to a Rasmussen survey from earlier this month, 4 in 10 likely U.S. voters think that a second civil war could occur in the United States in the next five years, with 37% saying a second civil war is more likely if Biden wins reelection. A quarter of those polled said a second civil war is more likely if Trump were to win in November.

The Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll was conducted May 7-13 and surveyed 4,962 registered voters from Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The margin of error is plus or minus 1 percentage point.

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Nearly half of voters across seven swing states said they expect violence around the presidential election in November, according to a new Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll.
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2024-15-22
Wednesday, 22 May 2024 12:15 PM
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