A poll released by the European Council on Foreign Relations shows Ukrainians are divided on how they want to achieve peace with Russia.
Ukrainians were presented with four options including:
- European Union membership
- EU and NATO membership
- Regaining all its occupied territory but no membership in the EU and NATO
- Regaining all occupied territory, membership in the EU, but no membership in NATO
None of the four options received a majority for or against, the poll found.
"Such disagreements could stoke political turmoil if and when negotiations begin," the report from ECFR said.
Expectations of an outright victory for Ukraine over Russa have fallen from 58% in May to 34% in November 2024, when the poll was conducted. Most Ukrainians (47%) said a compromise settlement with Russia is the most likely outcome.
In Ukraine, expectations of an outright victory in the war against Russia have fallen sharply in the last six months since the poll was last conducted, from 58% in May to 34% in November.
Ukrainians are divided on how President-elect Donald Trump's administration will affect the chances for peace. According to the poll, 39% believe his is more likely to help with peace, 35% said less likely, and 26% said it will make no difference.
Overall, those polled in India, Russia, South Africa, China, and Brazil said they believe Trump will be good for peace around the world and in their own countries, while only a minority of those polled in the United Kingdon, South Korea, and other European Union countries believe he will make peace in Ukraine or the Middle East more likely.
The poll was conducted in November in 16 European countries (Bulgaria, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Spain, Switzerland, Türkiye, Ukraine, and the United Kingdom) and eight non-European countries (Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, and the United States).
The total number of respondents was 28,549.
Sam Barron ✉
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