If history an indicator, Hillary Clinton's near 4-point national lead on Labor Day bodes well for her in November, The Hill reported Monday.
Nearly every presidential candidate in the past half-century who led on the national holiday has gone on to win the election, according to The Hill.
One notable exception – Ronald Reagan in 1980. Reagan trailed Jimmy Carter by 4 points – rump's deficit – but won the election by 10 points, according to The Hill.
These are the Labor Day leads and the candidates that went on to win:
- 2008: Barack Obama led John McCain by 5 points
- 2004: George W. Bush led John Kerry by 6 points
- 1996: Bill Clinton led Bob Dole by 17 points
- 1992: Bill Clinton led George H.W. Bush by 9 points
- 1988: George H.W. Bush led Michael Dukakis by 8 points
- 1984: Ronald Regan led Walter Mondale by 15 points
Mitt Romney was briefly tied with Obama in 2012, after the Republican convention, but Obama took control soon after, The Hill reported.
In 2000, Al Gore held the Labor Day lead over George W. Bush by 3 points, only to lose "hanging chad" election in what would be the closest in modern history, according to The Hill.
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