A new
Quinnipiac University survey conducted in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania shows that Vice President Joe Biden and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson would be the strongest candidates for their parties in these key swing states.
Quinnipiac stated Wednesday that Biden and Carson “are the best general election candidates” in these states, with their poll finding Carson defeating both Biden and Hillary Clinton in all three swing states.
According to
Bloomberg, if the election were held today and Carson were the Republican nominee, he would beat Clinton, Biden, and Senator Bernie Sanders in the battleground states of Ohio and Pennsylvania and also best the Vermont independent in Florida.
No president has won the general election since 1960 without carrying two out of those three swing states.
But, hypothetical match-ups show a different outcome. In Ohio:
- Carson would defeat Biden by four percentage points (46 percent to 42 percent).
- Carson would defeat Clinton by nine points (49 percent to 40 percent).
- Carson would defeat Sanders by 12 points (48 percent to 36 percent).
In Pennsylvania:
- Carson would beat Clinton by nine points (49 percent to 40 percent)
- Carson would defeat Sanders by 10 points (47 percent to 37 percent).
- Carson would best Vice President Joe Biden by 5 points (47 percent to 42 percent)
In Florida:
- Carson would defeat Sanders 46 percent to 40 percent.
- Carson trails Biden by a margin of 45 percent to 42 percent
- Carson also trails Clinton by 45 to 42 percent.
Carson's' primary numbers, however, still show him trailing behind Trump by a margin of 28 percent to 16 percent in Florida, by 23 percent to 18 percent in Ohio, and by 23 percent to 17 percent in Pennsylvania.
“Those who were waiting for Donald Trump’s campaign to collapse will need to wait longer – at least in the three key states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
The swing state poll also showed that Biden would defeat Florida Governor Jeb Bush and Senator Marco Rubio in Florida. And, in Ohio and Pennsylvania Biden would beat Bush, Rubio, and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina while Clinton trails all three.
“When we get past the playoffs to the World Series, the general election face-off, Biden does better against leading Republicans than does Clinton or Sanders,” Brown added. “Trump, despite his strong showing in mock Republican primaries, fares worst among the GOP candidates matched against the three Democratic aspirants – giving some credence to pundits who say the billionaire could be every Democrats’ favorite GOP nominee.”
According to the poll, front-runners Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton continue to have the worst overall favorability ratings among voters as well as the lowest scores for being honest and trustworthy.
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted between Sept. 25 and Oct. 5 by phone. Quinnipiac interviewed 1,173 Florida voters, with a margin of error of ±2.9 percentage points; 1,180 Ohio voters with a margin of error of ±2.9 percentage points; and 1,049 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.
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