NBC Poll: Americans Split on 2020 Presidential Race Winner

If the 2020 election were held today, Americans are split on who they think would win, but just over a third said they'd vote for President Donald Trump's reelection, according to a new NBC News/Survey Monkey online poll released Thursday.

Out of a national sample of 8,088 adults surveyed from March 18-25, with a margin of error of one percentage point, 43 percent said they believe President Donald Trump would be reelected, while another 43 percent said the eventual Democratic nominee will win. Nine percent said they think a third-party candidate will take the White House.

However:

• 34 percent of those polled said they would vote for Trump if the election were being held now;
• 29 percent saying they'd vote for the Democratic candidate, regardless of who that person is;
• 17 percent said their vote would depend on who Democrats nominate;
• 15 percent said they don't know who would get their votes.

In other numbers:

• Most Americans believe that it will not matter to the candidate’s chances if the Democratic nominee is a woman (65 percent)  or is nonwhite (69 percent).
• 52 percent to 42 percent of Americans agree with the Green New Deal;
• 63 percent to 35 percent of Americans agree that there should be a Medicare-for-All healthcare program;
• 45 percent to 53 percent of Americans approve how Trump handling his job as president;
• 23 percent of Americans say jobs and the economy is the most important issue, outranking health care (19 percent), immigration (19 percent), the environment (13 percent), education (9 percent), terrorism (5 percent) and foreign policy (2 percent).
• 62 percent of Americans think things in the country are going in the wrong direction; 35 percent say in the right direction.

• CNN Poll: 56 Percent Say Trump, Campaign Not Exonerated
• Fox Poll: Biden, Sanders Top Trump in Hypothetical Race