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CNN: Trump May Be Right About Dems Not Taking Majority

CNN: Trump May Be Right About Dems Not Taking Majority
President Donald Trump (Nicholas Kamm/AP)

By    |   Tuesday, 01 May 2018 03:36 PM EDT

A new analysis claims Republicans might be able to hold on to their majority in the House in the November midterm elections.

CNN's Harry Enten looked at several polls and drew his own conclusion that said President Donald Trump might be correct when he says the GOP's majority in the House chamber is not in trouble.

"When it comes to the 2018 House of Representatives elections, I think the president may have a point," Enten wrote. "While Democrats are favored to take back the House, it's by no means a certain proposition."

Enten pointed to a FiveThirtyEight generic ballot that gives Democrats a slight lead — eight points, up from seven points a few days ago — in House elections. Enten wrote he believes that figure will remain about the same on election day, which he said gives Democrats an estimated 50 percent chance of winning back the House majority.

Democrats need to pick up 23 seats in order to upend Republicans as the majority party.

RealClear Politics calculated Democrats' lead in the 2018 midterm polls to be around 7 percent, with all the polls used in the average giving Democrats at least a 4-point lead.

One poll released at the end of March found Democrats' lead shrank from 15 points to five in midterm elections.

It was reported over the weekend, meanwhile, Trump has told people in private he does not feel the GOP will lose its majority in either the House or Senate come November.

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Politics
President Donald Trump "might have a point" in claiming Democrats will not win back the majority in Congress this November, CNN's Harry Enten concluded in his analysis from several polls.
democrats, majority, house, senate, cnn
246
2018-36-01
Tuesday, 01 May 2018 03:36 PM
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