Over the weekend, a writer for Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight website gave the Chicago Cubs less of a chance of winning the World Series than Donald Trump of winning the presidential race next Tuesday.
As of Sunday, the Cleveland Indians were beating the Cubs by three games to one, and Chicago's home field advantage was evaporating. With the final two games headed for the Indians' Progressive Field, site writer Rob Arthur concluded Chicago's World Series curse hadn't ended.
"With a 2-1 World Series deficit and home-field advantage slipping away, the Cubs needed this game," Arthur wrote after Game 4, when the Indians defeated the Cubs by 7-2 at Wrigley Field in Chicago.
This led Arthur to rate the Cubs' "total chance of winning the Series at a measly 15 percent" going into Sunday night's game, which ended up marking the Cubs' comeback instead.
The 15 percent, Arthur continued, was "a smaller chance than FiveThirtyEight's election forecast model currently gives Donald Trump to win the White House."
On Wednesday, Chicago pulled out a World Series win in a dramatic 10th inning nail-biter, after Cleveland tied the game in the 8th inning, and following a rain delay before the extra inning.
The FiveThirtyEight blog currently has Trump's chances listed at 32.2 percent, giving Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton a 67.6 percent chance of winning.
Sandy Fitzgerald ✉
Sandy Fitzgerald has more than three decades in journalism and serves as a general assignment writer for Newsmax covering news, media, and politics.
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