Democrats have surged to a 14-point advantage among likely voters in congressional preference compared with a dead heat in early November, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll released on Monday.
Fifty-four percent support the Democratic candidate in their congressional district among likely voters heading into midterm elections, compared to only 40 percent for the Republican candidate.
Among registered voters, Democrats have a 12-point lead, maintaining their advantage from the previous poll in that category.
Democrats usually have less support among likely voters, because the party's main backers tend to have lower turnout, but that does not appear to be the case at the moment, as they have locked down their base.
Other highlights from the survey indicate:
- Fifty-one percent of independents support the Democratic candidate, compared to 37 percent for the Republican, the same margin as in the previous poll.
- Nonwhites favor the Democrat in their congressional district by a 59-point margin, 74-15 percent, up from 32 points in November.
- Women back Democratic candidates at a 64-29 percent pace, a significant increase from 55-40 percent in the fall. The race is steady among men, at 42-51 percent.
- Although 81 percent of conservatives are in the Republican camp, 14 percent cross to the Democrats, which is twice the share of liberals who support GOP candidates.
- Among likely voters, 34 percent are Democrats and 25 percent Republicans; while 29 percent are liberals and 32 percent conservatives.
This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone between January 15-18 in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,005 adults and 846 registered voters.
Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect.
Partisan divisions are 31-23-40 percent, Democrats-Republicans-Independents. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates.
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