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Economist Poll: 22 Percent Think Trump Will Be Convicted

By    |   Friday, 10 May 2024 08:24 PM EDT

While Americans are split as to the seriousness of former President Donald Trump's trial in New York, less than a quarter think he will see jail time, a recent poll shows.

According to an Economist/YouGov poll, 22% of the 1,813 respondents think Trump will be convicted, while 34% think he won't and 44% are not sure.

Trump has pleaded not guilty to 34 counts of falsifying business records to cover up a payment to porn star Stormy Daniels before the 2016 election.

When broken down by party, the sharp divide among Americans' view of the trial becomes clear: 90% of Democrats said the ongoing trial was serious, while only 25% of Republicans felt it was. Half of independents said it was serious.

When asked whether Trump should be convicted, 81% of Democrats felt he should be, while 6% of Republicans said he should. Forty-two percent of independents said Trump should go to prison.

The YouGov polling from a month prior showed that Democrats were 16 percentage points more likely than Republicans to say they were following the trial. Now the numbers are almost even with 49% of Republicans saying they've heard a lot about the case compared to 52% of Democrats. YouGov noted that number represents a 14-point increase in Republican interest in the trial.

The poll was conducted conducted May 5-7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

James Morley III

James Morley III is a writer with more than two decades of experience in entertainment, travel, technology, and science and nature. 

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Politics
While Americans are split as to the seriousness of former President Donald Trump's trail in New York, less than a quarter think he will see jail time, a recent poll shows.
poll, trump, trial, new york
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2024-24-10
Friday, 10 May 2024 08:24 PM
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