Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has made its first Electoral College projections for 2020, and things are starting in a pretty competitive manner. Republicans have states with 248 Electoral College votes at least leaning in their direction while Democrats have 244 Electoral College votes leaning in their direction.
Forty-six Electoral College votes are currently rated as toss-ups. They come from four states: Pennsylvania (20), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10), and New Hampshire (4). Additionally, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District has a single vote in the toss-up category.
It takes 270 Electoral College votes to win the presidency.
Obviously, a lot can change between now and November 2020. Key factors will include both the state of the economy and the Democratic nominee.
In addition to the toss-ups, there are many states that lean in one direction today but are far from a sure thing. Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, and Iowa are potentially in play but rated as Leans Republican.
On the other side of the aisle, six states are rated as Leans Democrat but could change. That list includes Nevada, Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, Virginia, and Maine.
Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
Scott Rasmussen is founder and president of the Rasmussen Media Group. He is the author of "Mad as Hell: How the Tea Party Movement Is Fundamentally Remaking Our Two-Party System," "In Search of Self-Governance," and "The People’s Money: How Voters Will Balance the Budget and Eliminate the Federal Debt." Read more reports from Scott Rasmussen — Click Here Now.
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