A tropical storm could be brewing in the warm waters off the East Coast, but for now forecasters believe it's not likely to not affect the mainland.
AccuWeather meteorologist Max Vido reported the disturbance is "a couple of hundred miles south" of Bermuda and could be helped along by the warm water in the tropics.
"As this disturbance drifts westward, it may enter a zone of low wind shear and begin to develop some spin late this week," Vido said, adding that a tropical storm is more likely to form in a low wind shear zone, rather than a high wind shear zone.
AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said steering winds will likely guide the feature northeastwardly this weekend into next week.
"The only way this feature would impact the U.S. is if it became well-organized, such as a strong tropical storm," Pydynowski said, and noted that could generate rough seas and surf along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts, as well as Bermuda, while a poorly organized feature would not.
"If there is going to be a period of moderate to rough surf, it would be this weekend," Pydynowski said.
The National Weather Service reported that the showers and thunderstorms connected with the disturbance remained disorganized Thursday and placed the chances of formation over the next 48 hours at 30 percent, and 40 percent over the next five days.
"Environmental conditions are still conducive for some development before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east
coast of the United States," the National Weather Service said in its forecast.
"The disturbance is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which should limit any additional development."
However, the National Weather Service said that shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains well organized and has a 70 percent chance of turning into a tropical depression.
Meteorologists believe that disturbance will move westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 miles per hour over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. The service said, though, that the disturbance will encounter upper-level winds where further development will become unfavorable and likely to degenerate into a trough of low pressure before it reaches the Lesser Antilles.
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